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自动化与信息科学期刊
SJR: 0.232 SNIP: 0.464 CiteScore™: 0.27

ISSN 打印: 1064-2315
ISSN 在线: 2163-9337

卷:
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自动化与信息科学期刊

DOI: 10.1615/JAutomatInfScien.v30.i1.50
pages 51-69

On a Certain Probability Approach to the Quantitative Description of Dynamics of Natural Processes

A. V. Kryazhimskii
International Institute of System Analysis (IIASA), Luxenburg
V. I. Maksimov
Institute of Mathematics and Mechanics, Ural Department of Russian Academy of Sciences, Ekaterinburg
A. A. Solov'ev
International Institute of Forecasting Seismic Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow
Alexander G. Chentsov
N.N. Krasovsky Institute of Mathematics and Mechanics of Ural Branch of Russian Academy of Sciences, Ural Federal University, Ekaterinburg

ABSTRACT

A certain approach to the problem of numerical simulation of dynamics of natural processes is discussed. A nature process is simulated as a discrete stochastic process. This simulation is organized on the basis of given observations that are obtained early. The problem consists in the determination of transition probabilities of the above-mentioned stochastic process.


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