%0 Journal Article %A Pankratova, Natalya D. %A Kondratova , Lyudmila P. %D 2019 %I Begell House %K recovery of functional dependences, multifactorial risks, forecasting, margin of permissible risk, information platform for technical diagnostics. %N 1 %P 15-25 %R 10.1615/JAutomatInfScien.v51.i1.20 %T System Strategy for Guaranteed Complex Engineering System Functioning in Real Operating Conditions %U https://www.dl.begellhouse.com/journals/2b6239406278e43e,3a51e96f24729a75,236e402f638c497c.html %V 51 %X There is proposed the system strategy for the guaranteed operation of a complex engineering system (CES) oriented to the timely detection and elimination of reasons for the possible transition of an operational state to an inoperative one based on systems analysis of multifactorial risks of abnormal situations, reliable estimating the margin of permissible risk for different CES operation modes and forecasting the key indicators of the object survivability for a specified operation period. There are given the models for forecasting and estimating the permissible risk margin which are the basis for implementation of the proposed strategy as the information platform for technical diagnostics. As an example, the functioning of the closed circulating water supply system is presented. %8 2019-05-03