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Journal of Automation and Information Sciences
SJR: 0.232 SNIP: 0.464 CiteScore™: 0.27

ISSN Druckformat: 1064-2315
ISSN Online: 2163-9337

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Journal of Automation and Information Sciences

DOI: 10.1615/J Automat Inf Scien.v37.i10.70
pages 60-70

Development of the Methodology of Estimation of Scenarios in Problems of Planning of Space Activity. Part 1

Ludmila I. Samoilenko
Institute of Space Research of National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine and National Space Agency of Ukraine, Kiev
Ludmila M. Yakovleva
Institute of Space Research of National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine and National Space Agency of Ukraine, Kiev, Ukraine
Tatyana V. Ilyenko
Institute of Space Research of National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine and National Space Agency of Ukraine, Kyiv, Ukraine
Ludmila V. Pidgorodetska
Institute of Space Research of National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine and National Space Agency of Ukraine, Kiev, Ukraine
Ludmila N. Kolos
Institute of Space Research of National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine and National Space Agency of Ukraine, Kiev, Ukraine

ABSTRAKT

Methodological essential principles of supporting planned decisions of selection of lines of development of space activity are developed. For solving the problem system-analytical approach, modeling and complex analysis of situations were used. The main principles of construction of a structural objective model of space activity in the Ukraine are given. Three classes of scenario planning are singled out. The base method of estimating planned scenarios, which realizes the principles of advantages analysis, is given.