Abo Bibliothek: Guest
Digitales Portal Digitale Bibliothek eBooks Zeitschriften Referenzen und Berichte Forschungssammlungen
Journal of Automation and Information Sciences
SJR: 0.238 SNIP: 0.464 CiteScore™: 0.27

ISSN Druckformat: 1064-2315
ISSN Online: 2163-9337

Volumes:
Volumen 50, 2018 Volumen 49, 2017 Volumen 48, 2016 Volumen 47, 2015 Volumen 46, 2014 Volumen 45, 2013 Volumen 44, 2012 Volumen 43, 2011 Volumen 42, 2010 Volumen 41, 2009 Volumen 40, 2008 Volumen 39, 2007 Volumen 38, 2006 Volumen 37, 2005 Volumen 36, 2004 Volumen 35, 2003 Volumen 34, 2002 Volumen 33, 2001 Volumen 32, 2000 Volumen 31, 1999 Volumen 30, 1998 Volumen 29, 1997 Volumen 28, 1996

Journal of Automation and Information Sciences

DOI: 10.1615/JAutomatInfScien.v41.i12.40
pages 58-69

Identification of Models of Geomagnetic Activity and Space Weather Prediction

Vitaliy A. Yatsenko
Institute of Space Research of National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine and National Space Agency of Ukraine, Kyiv, Ukraine
Oleg K. Cheremnykh
Institute of Space Research of National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine and State Space Agency of Ukraine, Kiev, Ukraine
Vsevolod M. Kuntsevich
Institute of Space Research of National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine and State Space Agency of Ukraine, Kiev, Ukraine
Oleg V. Semeniv
Institute of Space Research of National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine and National Space Agency of Ukraine, Kiev, Ukraine

ABSTRAKT

The problem of prediction of geomagnetic activity by the example of the method of Dst-index is considered. For its solving we suggested to use a nonlinear discrete dynamical system, which is obtained by decomposition of perturbations into series relative to correlation functions. Identification of structure and model parameters is defined by solving the corresponding problems of mathematical programming on bounded, but large enough set of stable models. On identification of model structure we took into account the assumption that model describes the state of magnetic-spherical-plasma medium, which is to great extent caused by influence of velocities of solar wind and south magnetic component of interplanetary magnetic field. The principal result of the work consists in numerical substantiation of existence of common stable model of minimal complexity, which provides the best prediction.


Articles with similar content:

Stabilization of Impulse Dynamical Systems with Finite Aftereffect under the Presence of Markovian Parameters. Part I
Journal of Automation and Information Sciences, Vol.40, 2008, issue 2
Victor I. Musurivskiy, Vladimir K. Yasinskiy, Vladimir S. Korolyuk

Identification of Nonlinear Systems with Additive External Action
Journal of Automation and Information Sciences, Vol.50, 2018, issue 4
Victor G. Gorodetskyi

DESCRIPTION OF MARKOVIAN PROCESS DYNAMICS IN AN EXTENDED SPACE OF VARIABLES
TsAGI Science Journal, Vol.42, 2011, issue 1
O. N. Khatuntseva

Computer Simulation for Dynamics of Elastic Multi-link Space Robots-manipulators
Journal of Automation and Information Sciences, Vol.31, 1999, issue 7-9
Tatyana V. Zavrazhina

On Mechanism of Recession Phenomenon
Journal of Automation and Information Sciences, Vol.47, 2015, issue 4
Nikolay S. Gonchar, Vladimir G. Kozyrski, Anatoliy S. Zhokhin