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Journal of Automation and Information Sciences
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Journal of Automation and Information Sciences

DOI: 10.1615/JAutomatInfScien.v51.i1.10
pages 1-14

Bayesian Strategy for Group Decision Making and its Interval Generalization

Olga A. Zhukovskaya
National Technical University of Ukraine "Igor Sikorsky Kiev Polytechnic Institute", Kiev
Leonid S. Fainzilberg
International Research and Training Center of Information Technologies and Systems of National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine and Ministry of Education and Science of Ukraine, Kyiv

ABSTRACT

An original approach to formalize the process of group decision making based on integration of private decisions of independent experts is developed. Mathematical models of collective decisions under risk conditions based on Bayesian strategy are proposed. Using the interval analysis methods there are constructed the suboptimal models providing with a given confidence probability the average risk minimum of the group decision on a set of possible situations.

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